We read everything.
Hundreds of curated sources, from Telegram channels to wires to X. We ingest them around the clock, drop duplicates and translate. Twenty languages.
Live beta · Explainable, traceable news intelligence
Understand what each story means and what to do about it. Convicta ties the news to the Polymarket markets it moves, and you can trace every link back to a clear rule.
We build in the open. Join our Discord and help shape the beta.
Join our Discord ↗Inside today · live in beta
Across both products: Convicta News (open beta) and Polymarket Pulse (public alpha). The trader, whale, insider and resolution tools live in Pulse.
Follow your favourite traders and whales: every trade they make, with live P&L, renameable, one tap to configure.
Alert on any market you care about: price levels, TP/SL-style triggers, resolution lifecycle, news that touches it.
UMA lifecycle with dispute-window countdowns.
Fresh and dormant wallets betting big.
Over a thousand Polymarket markets sit in the graph. Each story lands with the implied side and the resolution deadline, by explicit rule.
Hot wallets, books, related markets.
Everything you did not need in the moment, compressed to one card and sliced to your topics and positions. Twenty languages, your schedule, your rubrics. AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
Why Convicta
Convicta reduces both a news event and a market to explicit relationships, who did what to whom, and connects them when those relationships line up. We ingest hundreds of sources, drop the duplicates and translate the rest. Every item traces back to the exact rule that surfaced it, so you read an analytical picture instead of a firehose.
We curate up to ~500,000 news items a day across every source and filter them down to what matters for you.
Summaries
Every story ships with a tight AI summary: what happened and why it matters, in a few lines. Skip the 3,000-word reads. Summaries are AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
Global coverage
We ingest news from every region, translate it and deliver it in the language you choose. Twenty languages today, more coming. Automatic translation is AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
The signal path
Hundreds of curated sources, from Telegram channels to wires to X. We ingest them around the clock, drop duplicates and translate. Twenty languages.
The matcher connects each story to the prediction market it moves, by explicit rule, with the implied side and the resolution deadline. You can trace every match.
One card: the headline, the market it moves, the on-chain context, and the reason it matched. You decide with the evidence in front of you.
Real-time, and getting faster
Alerts on markets, prices, traders, whales and resolutions stream over websockets, so you get them the moment they happen. The news-to-market matching that names the market runs on a batch cadence today, and we are pushing it toward real time. We lead with auditability, so we hold back a matching-accuracy number until we have one worth publishing. Every match still traces to an explicit rule you can inspect.
In development
Set your rules for markets, sides, position caps, stop-loss and take-profit, then let the agent act on the signal for you. Everyone who tried this twenty years ago was too early; AI agents made it work. The beta is live and early users get first access.
Automation executes your rules. It does not promise returns. Not financial advice.
The wire · live beta
We value your feedback
We are onboarding our first users to make the product better, so tell us what is wrong and what is missing. We lead with auditability and traceability because you can verify those today; we hold back an accuracy percentage until we measure it on a labeled benchmark. The AI-assisted surfaces, meaning summaries, translations and the Edge read, are metered and may be paused during the beta. Matching can be wrong on breaking stories. Convicta gives you the news background, and the decision to enter a market stays yours.
The matching engine
We hand-built a graph over the active Polymarket universe: entities, relationships, numeric brackets and counter-evidence logic. Every match unifies a news relationship with the one a market requires, so you can see why it fired. No language model makes the live decision.
Smart-money context
Follow any wallet with live P&L, insider-pattern flags, hot-wallet discovery and a UMA resolution radar. Confirmation comes attached to every headline.
Live beta
[Breaking story headline appears here]
[Whale context: recent large trades in this market appear here]
"The whole world
— Donald Trump
became a casino."
Built by two founders who trade Polymarket daily and got tired of being late.
Chrome extension · alpha
Install the extension and polymarket.com gains a new layer: live alerts, matched news and AI Edge, on the page where you trade. You sign in with your Pulse account and it streams over a real-time socket.
Your alerts, meaning whale moves, followed-trader trades and price triggers, land in a sidebar or bell dropdown the second they fire. Real-time push, unread badge, optional sound.
Every market shows the stories that touched it plus the AI Edge estimate, per leg for multi-outcome markets, recomputed against the live price, with a «why?» rationale.
A one-line control under the market title: set a threshold in percentage points and get pinged when price moves that far. Stop watching the tab.
Any profile gets cash & positions value, the latest trade with side, outcome and execution price, and a follow bar with a min-$ filter.
A topbar 📰 with the freshest stories across the markets you watch, sit in or follow traders into. Deduped, translated, one click from source.
On list pages a quiet dot marks markets our news engine already covers, so you know where the signal is before you click.
About Edge: our models compute an estimate of a market's fair value, so it is not a hand-set number. It improves as our models and data improve, and it gives you one more metric to weigh on prediction markets. Edge is not financial advice; the decision is yours.
Add to Chrome, freeQuestions
A news-to-market intelligence service for prediction markets. It reads hundreds of sources across Telegram, wires, RSS and X, matches each story to the Polymarket market it affects by explicit rule, and delivers it with a short summary and on-chain context. Two products run on one engine: Convicta News (open beta) and Polymarket Pulse (public alpha).
Convicta News is the general beta: a personal, multi-source news feed, open to everyone and free for your first two months. Polymarket Pulse takes the same engine and turns news into signals about the Polymarket markets it moves. Pulse is a public alpha, built for people who already trade on Polymarket. They are two separate Telegram Mini Apps; use either or both.
Not yet. Today it is signal and intelligence. Automated execution of your rules, with stop-loss and take-profit, is on the roadmap and labeled "coming soon" everywhere it appears.
No, and run from anyone who says otherwise. When execution ships, it automates your rules; it does not promise returns.
Alerts apps notify you about on-chain events. We start one step earlier, at the news that causes the move, and connect it to the market along with the on-chain context. That is a different layer of the stack.
Alerts on markets, prices, traders, whales and UMA resolutions are real-time today: they stream over websockets the moment they happen. The news-to-market matching that names the market runs on a batch cadence today, and we are improving it toward real time. On accuracy, we lead with auditability: every match traces to an explicit rule you can inspect, and we hold back a matching-accuracy figure until we measure it on a labeled benchmark. Treat Convicta as your analytical news layer rather than an oracle.
Today Convicta is optimized for Telegram and runs as a Telegram App (beta), plus a web version in your browser. Native Android and iOS apps are on the roadmap.
Both products are free for your first two months during the beta. After that, Convicta News is free or News+ at $6/mo ($60/yr). Polymarket Pulse is a public alpha: Pulse Pro $12/mo ($120/yr) and Pulse Edge $20/mo ($200/yr), which includes News+. Annual plans give you 2 months free. Details on the pricing page.
No. Convicta never manages or touches your funds: no keys, no trades, no access. Adding a wallet lets you subscribe to alerts about that wallet, nothing more. Any address works, even an empty one, and we only read public data. Future auto-trading features will be opt-in with their own explicit terms.
Polymarket comes first. Kalshi and other venues are on the roadmap.
News delivery supports twenty languages today; the website interface is available in eleven. Automatic translation is AI-assisted and metered during the beta.
News & updates
Subscribe for product news and updates: launches, new features, market intel.
No spam. Unsubscribe whenever you want. We keep the founding cohort small on purpose.